Effectiveness of a diagnostic algorithm for dengue based on an artificial neural network.

Introduction: Dengue is a disease with a wide clinical spectrum. The early identification of dengue cases is crucial but challenging for health professionals; therefore, it is necessary to have effective diagnostic instruments to initiate timely care. Objective: To evaluate the effectiveness of an algorithm based on an artificial neural network (ANN) to diagnose dengue in an endemic area. Methods: A single-center case-control study was conducted in a secondary-care hospital in Ciudad Obregón, Sonora. An algorithm was built with the official operational definitions, which was called the "direct algorithm," and for the ANN algorithm, the brain.js library was used. The data analysis was performed with the diagnostic tests of sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (ppv), and negative predictive value (npv), with 95% confidence intervals and Cohen's kappa index. Results: A total of 233 cases and 233 controls from 2022 were included. The ANN presented a sensitivity of 0.90 (95% CI [0.85, 0.94]), specificity of 0.82 (95% CI [0.77, 0.87]), npv of 0.91 (95% CI [0.87, 0.94]) and ppv of 0.81 (95% CI [0.76, 0.85]) and a kappa of 0.72. The direct algorithm had a sensitivity of 0.97 (95% CI [0.94, 0.99]), specificity of 0.96 (95% CI [0.92, 0.98]), npv 0.97 (95% CI [0.94, 0.98]), ppv 0.96 (95% CI [0.93, 0.98]) and kappa 0.93. Conclusions: The direct algorithm performed better than the ANN in the diagnosis of dengue.

Impact of vaccination on infection or death from COVID-19 in individuals with laboratory-confirmed cases: Case-control study.

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study is to estimate the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines in people treated within the social security system whose vaccination status was reported to the epidemiological surveillance system. STUDY DESIGN: Case-control study. METHODS: This was a case-control study conducted. The records of individuals with suspected cases of COVID-19 registered in the epidemiological surveillance system between February 1 and June 30, 2021, were studied. RT-qPCR was performed to determine SARS-CoV-2 infection; those with a positive result were considered cases, and those with a negative result were considered controls. The ratio between cases and controls was 1:1.3. The crude and adjusted vaccine effectiveness was considered the prevention of symptomatic infection and death and calculated as the difference between the dose and the risk, with a survival analysis among vaccinated people. RESULTS: A total of 94,416 individuals were included, of whom 40,192 were considered cases and 54,224 controls; 3,781 (4.00%) had been vaccinated against COVID-19. Vaccination also proved to be a protective factor against COVID-19, especially in the population who received a second dose (OR = 0.31; 95% CI 0.28-0.35). With the application of the vaccine, there was a protective effect against mortality (OR = 0.76; 95% CI 0.66-0.87). Disease prevention was higher for the BNT162-2 mRNA vaccine (82%) followed by the ChAdOx1 vaccine (33%). In the survival analysis, vaccination provided a protective effect. CONCLUSIONS: There was a positive impact of vaccines for the prevention of symptomatic COVID-19, with a second dose generating greater efficacy and a reduction in deaths.

[Serenity and objectivity in the face of severe childhood hepatitis: the diagnostic challenge]. / Serenidad y objetividad ante la hepatitis grave infantil: el reto diagnóstico.

The appearance of acute hepatitis of unknown aetiology in children has set off alarms in the World Health Organization and in member countries; identifying it and studying it lay out a diagnostic challenge for first-contact medical personnel and especially for pediatricians of Mexico, as well as for the coordination of care in health services. The international outlook and an analysis of the clinical manifestations are described, as well as key points for the identification and an observation of the samples that are requested for their study in Mexico.

La aparición de la hepatitis aguda infantil de etiología desconocida ha hecho que suenen las alarmas en la Organización Mundial de la Salud y en los países miembros; su identificación y estudio plantean un reto diagnóstico para el personal médico de primer contacto y en especial para los pediatras del país, así como para la coordinación de la atención en los servicios de salud. Se describe el panorama internacional y un análisis de las manifestaciones clínicas y los puntos clave para su identificación, así como una observación a las muestras que se solicitan para su estudio en México.

Predict the incidence of Guillain Barré Syndrome and arbovirus infection in Mexico, 2014-2019.

The Dengue (DENV), Zika (ZIKV), and Chikungunya (CHIKV) virus infections have been linked to Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS). GBS has an estimated lethality of 4% to 8%, even with effective treatment. Mexico is considered a hyperendemic country for DENV due to the circulation of four serotypes, and the ZIKV and CHIKV viruses have also been circulating in the country. The objective of this study was to predict the number of GBS cases in relation to the cumulative incidence of ZIKV / DENV / CHIKV in Mexico from 2014 to 2019. A six-year time series ecological study was carried out from GBS cases registered in the Acute Flaccid Paralysis (AFP) Epidemiological Surveillance System (ESS), and DENV, ZIKV and CHIKV estimated cases from cases registered in the epidemiological vector-borne diseases surveillance system. The results shows that the incidence of GBS in Mexico is positively correlated with DENV and ZIKV. For every 1,000 estimated DENV cases, 1.45 GBS cases occurred on average, and for every 1,000 estimated ZIKV cases, 1.93 GBS cases occurred on average. A negative correlation between GBS and CHIKV estimated cases was found. The increase in the incidence of GBS cases in Mexico can be predicted by observing DENV and ZIKV cases through the epidemiological surveillance systems. These results can be useful in public health by providing the opportunity to improve capacities for the prevention of arbovirus diseases and for the timely procurement of supplies for the treatment of GBS.

Correlación de la escala de Tarplay y el diagnóstico de pacientes con sospecha de tener síndrome de Sjögren del Centro Médico Nacional <

Objetivo: Establecer la correlación que existe entre la escala de Tarplay y los pacientes con síndrome de Sjögren positivo. Métodos: Se revisaron 321 casos de pacientes con sospecha de tener síndrome de Sjögren de la UMAE, Centro Médico Nacional <

Aim: To establish any existing correlation between Tarplay's grading system and patients with positive diagnosis of Sjögren's syndrome. Methods: 321 cases of patients suspected to be afflicted with Sjögren's syndrome were reviewed at the Highly Specialized Medical Units (UMAE), Centro Médico Nacional <